2011 Avalanche Blogger Roundtable (6.)

6. The Avalanche ranked 15th in goals scored and 30th
in goals allowed last year. Which of these areas will see the biggest
improvement (if any) next year?
Mike @ MHH, Mile High Hockey: Goals allowed of course.
Nowhere to go but up!!
Nic Zamora, Avaholics Anonymous: Well there's no way to go
but up and with the bigger defense and potentially better goaltending, the
goals against should be much lower than last season. Hopefully this is the case
because no way we make the playoffs giving up that many goals. Goals for, I
think, will be right around the same since we aren't going to be getting as much
offense from the defense after losing guys like Liles and Shattenkirk.
Adrian Dater, Denver Post: I would definitely say it'll
be the latter. Not only is Varlamov and J.S. Giguere already an automatic
upgrade over Elliott-Budaj, but the defense clearly looks better on paper. Jan Hejda and a healthy Kyle Quincey will add a lot more size
back there, and I really think Stefan Elliott has a chance to be a real good rookie this year. On paper, things look
better offensively too really. Yeah, they lost Fleischmann, but they should get Peter Mueller back, and Gabriel Landeskog has all the right
ingredients to make a positive impact this year. I also think Duchene will be
better, and I think TJ Galiardi will have a bounce-back year. But still,
goal-scoring figures to be the team's biggest problem - especially on the power
play.
Stephen Crociata, Mile High Sticking and SBNation New York: When taking a look at the
possible 2011-12 roster for the Avalanche I expect the scoring to be consistent
with last season, possibly just a little better, but I expect goals allowed to
take a sharp decrease. The Avalanche acquired two very capable goalies and
their new and improved, aka larger, blueline will add to a drop in goals
allowed.
Aaron Musick, HockeyBuzz: With Erik Johnson leading the defense, Kyle
Quincey coming back and Jan Hejda coming in, the Avs should be tougher to play
against. No counting Kyle Cumiskey, the Avalanche only have Matt Hunwick as the small-type
defenseman. Liles and Shattenkirk are gone, Holos is probably going to play in
Lake Erie. That alone makes the Avs tougher, just the fact they can play with
the bigger teams. Add in the fact that they have started from scratch on
goaltending and have a fresh start, they should give up less goals while still
scoring about the same, assuming goaltender health is good.
Pavol from Slovakia, Eurolanche: I
think the biggest improvement will be in the ranking of goals allowed. We
finally got two balanced goalkeepers, both are very good. Varlamov is young,
motivated and he see his chance to become career-long Avs goalie number one so
he will do anything to catch all the pucks. Also, our defense is being
stronger, at least in my eyes. Anyway, after last season our next rank could
not be worse.
Geoff Rosenthal, The Avs Factor:
The Avalanche defense has improved enough (as has their goaltending) to the
point where they should be much better in the goals allowed category. It can't
get any worse.
David Driscoll-Carignan, Mile High Hockey: Goaltending is the easy
answer here. It doesn't get much worse than the 3.5 goals per game given up by Craig Anderson, Peter Budaj and Brian Elliott last year. Varlamov and Giguere both have a career GAA about a goal per
game lower than that and they'll be playing against a defense that has been
completely revamped. The Avalanche will be greatly improved in this area. And
they may need that, because I think the team will take a few steps backwards
offensively.
Brett Shumway, Mile High Hockey: Like Beachie's prom dress in
her John-Michael Liles fantasies, Goals Against will drop.
AJ Haefele, Mile High Hockey: Without a doubt the goals
allowed total. With improved health, the offense could and should return to
being a Top 8 unit. The defense has been greatly improved with the additions of
Jan Hejda and two competent goaltenders in Varly and Giguere. Those three moves
alone should vault us into the top 20 and a full season of Erik Johnson, the
return of Kyle Quincey, and the maturation of Ryan O'Byrne, Cameron Gaunce, and Jonas Holos (whenever they inevitably end up in Colorado) should allow for a
nastier, more defensively stout group than last year's Liles-led group.
David from Slovakia, Eurolanche:
Goals allowed - definitely. It would be surrealistic disaster if this would
happen again - when both goalies would fail. Everybody expects big help from
Varlamov and he could not fail. I also predict an improvement in goals scored,
but not so big like in the goals allowed.
Mike Chambers, Denver Post: Goals against will dramatically
improve because of better goaltending and a much-improved blue line.
Cheryl Bradley, Mile High Hockey & Avalanche Breakaway: This team can score. Of that,
few people have doubt. Its Achilles' heel for too many years has been the
defense. Yet the late- and off-season moves by Sherman has turned an
undersized, PMD-heavy defense into a formidable blue line, which will improve
the team's goals allowed stats considerably. The front office added inches and
pounds, increasing the average size to 6'2"/214 lbs; by doing so, they
changed the identity of the defense. It's designed to create opportunities and
stop opportunities. There's more focus on outlet passes from the defensive zone
rather than carrying the puck through center ice from the back end. Fewer
battles in the corners will end with the Avalanche defender being pushed off
the puck. Varly's line of sight will be clearer because opponents who camp out
in front of the net won't have it so easy anymore. There's a meanness in the
d-corps that hasn't been present in a long time. I don't doubt that penalties
by the defense will go up, but the scoring opportunities by the other teams
will be reduced significantly, enough for it to be a fair trade off.
The other half of the equation is the goaltending. If
both goaltenders can stay healthy, the Avs may prove to have one of the very
best tandems in the league. There's no question both Semyon Varlamov and
Jean-Sebastian Giguere are highly talented players. Both have proven they can
carry a team, especially during the playoffs. The defense will certainly reduce
the number of pucks that go on net, but the goaltender in that net will adeptly
stop those that make it through.
Sandie Gauthier, Mile High Hockey:
Goals allowed, because really, nowhere else to go but up?
Angélique Murray, Colorado Avalanche Prospects, Mile High Hockey & Chicks Who Give A Puck: For this team to return to
the playoffs, they have to get better defensively. Give the Avs credit, they
have made an effort of getting bigger on defense with the acquisitions of Ryan
O'Byrne and Erik Johnson; plus off-season additions of Jan Hejda and Shane
O'Brien (and add in a healthy and productive Kyle Quincey). The Avs defense
will have a drastically different look at the beginning of the 2011-12 season
in comparison to the start of the 2010-11 campaign. Also, the retirement of Adam Foote and trade of John-Michael
Liles adds to the changes. I believe the new look defense will be tougher to
play against and the Avs will shave off a few goals against from last year's
total.
Austin Snow, Avs Chill Zone: Goals allowed will vastly improve.
The goaltending situation is heads and tails above what the team had last year,
and the revamped defense will make it much tougher for the opposing teams to
get to the net. I see an improvement to around the #15 spot, maybe even better
depending on how Varly plays. I think the goals for stat will increase a bit to
a top-10 spot. Remember the Avalanche led the league in goals for a good period
during the first half of last season. A 3rd year Matt Duchene, healthy Mueller, and other players like Landeskog will keep
the offense rolling.
Derek Bell, Mile High Hockey: While I would like to say the
offense will improve, the defense was absolutely horrid last season and since
they finished dead last in the NHL, the only place to go is up. It's no secret
that a goalie can make or break a team's season, hell even 6-7 seasons (see
Patrick Roy). It's also no secret that the Avs have not had a solid goalie
since Roy retired. We thought we had something during the 2009-10 when Craig
Anderson played "Roy-esque", but came crashing back to Earth last
season and was ultimately dealt to Ottawa for perennial backup Brian Elliott. I
honestly think that both will improve this season, but with the tandem of
Varlamov and Giguere I will say the defense will improve more.
Ryan Boulding, The Avalanche Guild: I expect the Burgundy Boys
to improve greatly in both areas. Let's not forget that while they had been
allowing a lot of goals, they were leading the league at one point for goals
scored. When the offense is on and can focus on offense, the goals will flow.
The forwards got caught playing a lot of defense last season - albeit poorly -
and were easily overcome. With a bigger, stronger defensive unit and an
explosive, unconventional starting goaltender, the Avalanche will be able to
refocus their firepower on the unfortunate opponents they face. Hands down the
biggest improvement will be in goals allowed.
Jaye Horbay, Mile High Sticking: Both of these should have giant
IF's beside them. While I think the goaltending tandem the team will have this
year is leaps and bounds over any point last season, both goalies are unproven.
Varlamov's injuries are well documented and Giguere might be past his prime,
they both need to have solid seasons and be injury free if moving up from dead
last in the Goals Against is possible. The offence, IF they are healthy, will
be fine in my opinion. A big reason for this, I think, is the re addition of
Peter Mueller. We all saw what he did in the limited time he played with
Duchene and Hejduk, now stretch that over a full season (hopefully?) scary
stuff. Putting him and Erik Johnson as the one two punch unleashing bombs from
the blue on the power play and maybe that will improve as well.
Matt Muzia, SBN Denver: Both will improve. Injuries and lack of
depth really hurt the offense, which was producing at a pretty decent clip the
first few months. Goals allowed will improve because of an upgrade in net (starting
and backup) and a better commitment to defense, along with more physical
players.
Andi D, Mile High Hockey: I think both areas will see a
large amount of improvement. This off-season, we've beefed up our defense
so they aren't as easy to push around, increased our organizational depth so
even if injuries do strike we won't be relying on career AHL players to score
on our top lines, acquired two goalies that will be competing for the starting
job rather than the backup one, and have had 3 months to heal and train so we
can come back healthy. The Tank is gone, we've got a crop of great
potential rookies, and it's a contract year for 65% of the players in the
organization. This is the team that led the league in goals for nearly
half the season. This is also the team with a chip on its shoulder,
something to prove, and the muscle to make a statement. I think we'll
finish in at least the top 10 for goals for and in the top 20 for goals against.
Mike Verminski, Put It On Ice: I don't see either improving
drastically. We lost Foote and Liles on defense which will most likely hurt the
team more than help to improve it. If Varlamov can play consistently throughout
the season the goals allowed could improve. I don't think goals for will change
much from last season.
David Puchovsky, Slovakia, eurolanche@eurolanche.com
18/09/2011 - 11:12