2011 Avalanche Blogger Roundtable (8.)

8. Three players have scored 50 points as a
rookie in an Avalanche uniform: Paul Stastny (78), Matt Duchene (55) and Alex Tanguay (51). Will Gabriel Landeskog become the fourth? What sort of season
do you expect from him?
Stephen Crociata, Mile High Sticking and SBNation New York: Gabriel Landeskog will have
experts say "I knew he was good, but this good?" I expect Landeskog
to be the 4th Avs rookie to score over 50 pts.
Derek Bell, Mile High Hockey: 35 goals, 32 assists for 67
points
David from Slovakia, Eurolanche: I am
really surprised by predictions and expectations from the scouts about
Landeskog rookie season. He has to be smart player - everybody talks about
that. But personally, I really do not know what I should think about it and
what should I expect. First of all, he is European and you remember that
Colorado has only a few successful European players in the 21st century. In
spite of that I expect traditional 50 points from him.
Jaye Horbay, Mile High Sticking: I expect nothing less than 100
points and 2 Calder trophies. That's right, TWO. Okay, seriously though, I
don't think at 18 he can be the ‘power forward' that we all project him to be,
especially coming straight from the OHL. I think if you throw him with the
right line mates, he's got the tools and skill for at least a good 45-60
points, depending if he gets PP time.
Angélique Murray, Colorado Avalanche Prospects, Mile High Hockey & Chicks Who Give A Puck: Gabriel Landeskog is
described as the most NHL ready player from the 2011 NHL draft class. I believe
the Avs will give him plenty of opportunities to succeed. He should be a
consistent fixture on the top two lines and will receive a fair amount of time
on the power play. Barring injury, misuse, or time for adjustment to the
professional level, a 50 point freshman campaign is not out of the question.
Nic Zamora, Avaholics Anonymous: I expect 50 points out of
Landeskog. They've been hyping him up as the most NHL ready prospect in this
year's draft class so I believe that his game should be able to translate to
the NHL. I don't think the 30 goal mark will be there like with Jeff Skinner in Carolina last season but
I could see maybe a 25/25 type of year for him.
Mike Verminski, Put It On Ice: Absolutely. Landeskog will
have more points than Duchene and Tanguay, but not as many as Stastny did. He
will have a great year similar to the year Duchene had his rookie season. I
think Landeskog will have a better year because he has better players to play
with.
Brett Shumway, Mile High Hockey: Given top six minutes, Landeskog better score 50 points or I'll be forced to burn all my shirtless drawings of him. I'll do it!! I SWEAR!!!!!
Mike @ MHH, Mile High Hockey: No, 40 points and a couple
of healthy scratches (this is Sacco we're talking about).
Austin Snow, Avs Chill Zone: No, he won't. He'll get dang close, though. I think
he'll start with a bang and then taper off a bit, before coming on again down
the stretch. I think the middle of the season will be spent trying to find who he
has the best chemistry with.
Mike Chambers, Denver Post: Not sure. He's probably more
ready than Duchene and O'Reilly were two years ago at age 18, so Landeskog has
a good chance to be real good right away.
Sandie Gauthier, Mile High Hockey:
No I don't think he will. I like Landeskog. I've seen him play a few
games, and I found him to be quite visible during those games. What I saw
I liked, he is a guy who isn't afraid to throw his body around, or if he is
afraid he doesn't let that stop him. He also has fantastic vision. He'll do
well, but I don't think he'll get the 50 point mark this year.
David Driscoll-Carignan, Mile High Hockey: If you look at the 2nd forward taken in the last few drafts (top 5 picks only), you have Taylor
Seguin (22 pts), Duchene (55), JVR (35), Jonathan Toews (54) and Bobby Ryan(10
points in 23 games). Evgeni Malkin had 85, but I don't think anyone is
comparing Landy to Malkin. I think 50 might be stretching it; I say 46 which
could put him in Calder contention.
Ryan Boulding, The Avalanche Guild: If Gabriel Landeskog stays healthy, on a productive line, and can primarily focus on what he does best, then I can see him joining the ranks of the outstanding players listed above. It is important to note that, despite being considered NHL-ready by many scouts, Landeskog has really only played two full seasons of professional hockey. Stastny had two years in the USHL and two years in the WCHA, which was easily the most dominant conference in NCAA division I hockey at the time. Duchene had one year in the OMHA and two years playing in the OHL under his belt and was considered an NHL risk when he started. Tanguay had three years in the QMJHL before making the leap into the NHL and he only had 51 points his rookie season.
The point is that it seems like players who have a longer chance to develop - Stastny - will be able to adapt more rapidly to the highest, most competitive level of their sport. While this isn't a given rule, it is worth considering. Landeskog will certainly be successful and I think he will break 50 if he remains in perfect health and develops a rapport with consistent linemates.
Cheryl Bradley, Mile High Hockey & Avalanche Breakaway: Man, this is a hard one. So
much of this depends on what line Landeskog ends up and who his linemates are.
Assuming that a first- or second-line left winger is not added to the roster
and the rookie plays on a line with Paul Stastny and David Jones, I think he will come close to the 50 point mark though he
won't actually reach it. I'm thinking 46 points perhaps. His presence on that
line will be critical to the performances of Stastny and Jones. He's going to
draw attention and wreak havoc in front of the net and in the corners. That
style of play will certainly create opportunities for him; however, his true
value will be in the space and time he creates for his linemates.
Aaron Musick, HockeyBuzz: The problem with predicting
production from rookie wingers is it relies a lot upon their center. Landeskog
could be put on a line with Duchene or Stastny and get 55 points and then again
he could be put on a line with Ryan O'Reilly and scrape by with 30. There's
also the unknown if Landeskog can handle the bigger and stronger players in the
NHL. He was a man among boys in the CHL but now he might be a boy against men.
He's not a scorer or playmaker, he's a power forward and if he cannot handle
the defensemen in the league, points will be hard to come by.
Andi D, Mile High Hockey: I actually think Landeskog can
hit the 50pt mark. The kid can flat out score. His goals may not be
pretty, but he gets them in the net. Next year, he'll probably be playing
with Stastny or Duchene, both of whom are amazing playmakers and could really
benefit from having someone like Landeskog parked in front of the goalie and
banging in the rebounds. There have been some questions raised about how
Landeskog's game will translate to the NHL, but from what I've seen, even if
the playing field has been leveled as far as size is concerned, he still has quick
hands and a knack for finding the holes in a goalie's defense. I expect
to see him as a Top 6 LW, and I expect to hear "Rebound by Landeskog -
GOALLLLLL!!!!!" from Mike Haynes around 25-30 times this year.
Geoff Rosenthal, The Avs Factor:
Playing with either Stastny or Duchene? Landeskog shouldn't have a problem
hitting 50 points, especially if he's as NHL ready as all the scouts have said.
For once, the Avalanche have someone who is BIG and hopefully won't get injured
immediately after puck drop.
Adrian Dater, Denver Post: I doubt it. I'm forecasting something like a 14-24-38 season for him. That certainly would be pretty good for a rookie, but I don't see 50 points. That said, he's got every opportunity in the world to get a top-6 job with this team this year, so I wouldn't die of shock if he ended up making it to 50.
Matt Muzia, SBN Denver: I think 35-40 points this season is
optimistic for Landeskog. I have never been high on the pick, and I have
concerns about his transition to the size and pace of the NHL. He'll have the
advantage of playing with a top center who can create opportunities for him,
but there will be plenty of growing pains.
AJ Haefele, Mile High Hockey: No. I've said a few times I
think his season will be closer to that of Tyler Seguin's last year. I've
started to back off that a bit simply because Landy is likely to be playing
more often and with more talented guys than Seguin was on Boston's bottom 6
last season. He'll likely also be given plenty of PP time to shine but anybody
expecting a big season from him I think is going to be disappointed. If we get
40 points out of him, we should be thrilled. I think a 30-35 point season is a
reasonable goal.
David Puchovsky, Slovakia, eurolanche@eurolanche.com
20/09/2011 - 11:15